Four New Signs Point To Economic Strength (2-Minute Read)
Four new signs of continued economic growth were reported this past week.
Here's a two-minute rundown of news affecting wealth management.
Business owner optimism has remained near its all-time high since the election.
Small business owners created 60% to 80% of all the new jobs since the expansion began 107 months ago, so that's a good sign.
In addition, nearly 30% of business owners in April said it was a good time to expand, also pretty close to a record high.
That's another good sign.
Meanwhile, in another good sign, job openings surged in March, according to the Department of Labor's latest monthly release.
In March, employers advertised 6.55 million job openings and the job-openings rate was 4.2% - a record based on a data series dating back to December 2000. And, in an historical anomaly, the rate of unemployment was about the same as the job-openings rate: the ratio of unemployed to job openings was one-to-one in March, compared to seven-to-one emerging from The Great Recession in July 2009.
Despite all of the good signs, the monthly inflation rate release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday morning was benign. At 2.4%, the inflation rate is in line with the Federal Reserve's expectations, and the Fed has said it is so confident inflation will not heat up that it plans to allow it to exceed its 2% target rate without tightening credit and raising interest rates.
Food-price inflation is much lower than overall inflation compared to 12 months earlier. The cost of a car declined and airfare dropped sharply. Shelter, the biggest cost a household faces monthly, ran up 3.4% in cost, and so did the cost of energy.
After three weeks in the doldrums, the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index since May 3rd has risen steadily and closed on Friday at 2727.72, not far from its all-time record high. With expected earnings strong by historical standards, the stock market is fairly valued and not wildly overpriced - despite all of the good new signs of growth in the economy.
This article was written by a veteran financial journalist based on data compiled and analyzed by independent economist, Fritz Meyer. While these are sources we believe to be reliable, the information is not intended to be used as financial advice without consulting a professional about your personal situation. Indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Investments with higher return potential carry greater risk for loss. Past performance is not an indicator of your future results.
© 2018. All Rights Reserved.
- A Reminder About Harvesting 2018 Tax Losses
- A Timely Tax Tactic For Business Owners
- Pre-Retirees To Convert To IRAs More Often
- Economic Facts To Prepare For The Elections
- Protect Yourself Against Spearphishing
- 2018 Estate Tax Changes And What May Be Ahead
- Understanding Economic Fundamentals
- A Guide To The New Rules On Tax Deductions In 2018
- Investing For The Long Run Amid Volatility
- You Don't Need Perfect Knowledge To Invest Well
- What's Driving Stocks And How It Affects Portfolios
- How Portfolio Theory Worked In Real-World 2017
- Tax Alert: Last Chance For Year-End Tax Planning
- Soaring Stocks Raises Importance Of Diversifying
- Seven Steps To Protect Yourself After Data Breach
READY TO TAKE THE FIRST STEP?
Schedule your no-charge, no-obligation Introductory Phone Call.